2001-2010

[105] Gumpenberger M, Vohland K, Heyder U, Poulter B, Macey K, Rammig A, Popp A, Cramer W 2010 Predicting pan-tropical climate change induced forest stock gains and losses - implications for REDD. Env Res Lett 5 014013, doi : 10.1088/1748-9326/5/1/014013

[104] Jupp TE, Cox PM, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Lucht W, Cramer W 2010 Development of probability density functions for future South American rainfall New Phytol 187(3):682-693, doi : 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03368.x

[103] Mace GM, Cramer W, Diaz S, Faith DP, Larigauderie A, Le Prestre P, Palmer M, Perrings C, Scholes RJ, Walpole M, Walther BA, Watson JA, Mooney HA 2010 Biodiversity targets after 2010 Curr Opinion Env Sust 2:1-6, doi : 10.1016/j.cosust.2010.03.003

[102] Meyn A, Schmidtlein S, Taylor SW, Girardin MP, Thonicke K, Cramer W 2010 Spatial variation in wildfire and summer drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. Int J Wildland Fire 19:272-283, doi : 10.1071/WF09055

[101] Meyn A, Taylor SW, Flannigan MD, Thonicke K, Cramer W 2010 Relationship between fire, climate oscillations, and drought in British-Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. Gl Chg Biol 16(3):977-989, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02061.x

[100] Poulter B, Aragão L, Heyder U, Gumpenberger M, Heinke J, Langerwisch F, Rammig A, Thonicke K, Cramer W 2010 Net biome production of the Amazon Basin in the 21st century. Gl Chg Biol 16(7):2062-2075, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02064.x

[99] Poulter B, Hattermann F, Hawkins E, Zaehle S, Sitch S, Restrepo-Coupe N, Heyder U, Cramer W 2010 Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Gl Chg Biol 16(9):2476-2495, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

[98] Rammig A, Jupp T, Thonicke K, Tietjen B, Heinke J, Ostberg S, Lucht W, Cramer W, Cox P 2010 Estimating the risk of Amazonian forest dieback. New Phytol 187(3):694-706 (supporting online material), doi : 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2010.03318.x

[97] Kuhlbrodt T, Rahmstorf S, Zickfeld K, Vikebø F, Sundby S, Hofmann M, Link PM, Bondeau A, Cramer W, Jaeger C 2009 An integrated assessment of changes in the thermohaline circulation. Clim Chg 96(4):489-537, doi : 10.1007/s10584-009-9561-y

[96] Poulter B, Cramer W 2009 Satellite remote sensing of tropical forest canopy dynamics. Int J Rem Sens 30(24):6575-6590, doi : 10.1080/01431160903242005

[95] Poulter B, Heyder U, Cramer W 2009 Modelling the sensitivity of the seasonal cycle of GPP to dynamic LAI and soil depths in tropical rainforests. Ecosystems 12:517–533, doi : 10.1007/s10021-009-9238-4

[94] Cramer W 2008 Global change impacts on the biosphere. In : Jørgensen SE & Fath BD (eds) Global Ecology, pp 1736-1741, Elsevier, Oxford

[93] Gerten D, Luo Y, Le Maire G, Parton WJ, Keough C, Weng E, Beier C, Ciais P, Cramer W, Dukes JS, Sowerby A, Hanson PJ, Knapp A, Linder S, Nepstad D, Rustad L 2008 Modelled effects of precipitation, on ecosystem carbon and water dynamics in different climatic zones. Gl Chg Biol 14:1-15, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01651.x

[92] Luo Y, Gerten D, Le Maire G, Parton WJ, Weng E, Zhou X, Keough C, Beier C, Ciais P, Cramer W, Dukes JS, Emmett B, Hanson PJ, Knapp A, Linder S, Nepstad D, Rustad L 2008 Modelled interactive effects of precipitation, temperature, and [CO2] on ecosystem carbon and water dynamics in different climatic zones. Gl Chg Biol 14:1986-1999, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01629.x

[91] Metzger M, Schröter D, Leemans R, Cramer W 2008 A spatially explicit and quantitative vulnerability assessment of ecosystem service change in Europe. Reg Env Change 8:91-107, doi : 10.1007/s10113-008-0044-x

[90] Bondeau A, Smith PC, Zaehle S, Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Cramer W, Gerten D, Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, Reichstein M, Smith B 2007 Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance. Gl Ch Biol 13:679-706, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01305.x

[89] Müller C, Eickhout B, Zaehle S, Bondeau A, Cramer W, Lucht W 2007 Effects of changes in CO2, climate, and land use on the carbon balance of the land biosphere during the 21st century. J Geophys Res 112, G02032, doi : 10.1029/2006JG000388

[88] Prentice IC, Bondeau A, Cramer W, Harrison SP, Hickler T, Lucht W, Sitch S, Smith B, Sykes MT 2007 Dynamic global vegetation modelling : quantifying terrestrial ecosystem responses to large-scale environmental change. Chapter 15 in : Canadell JP, Pataki D & Pitelka LF (eds.) Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York

[87] Reichstein M, Ciais P, Papale D, Valentini R, Running S, Viovy N, Cramer W, Granier A, Ogée J, Allard V, Aubinet M, Bernhofer C, Buchmann N, Carrara A, Grünwald T, Heimann M, Heinesch B, Knohl A, Kutsch W, Loustau D, Manca G, Matteucci G, Miglietta F, Ourcival JM, Pilegaard K, Pumpanen J, Rambal S, Schaphoff S, Seufert G, Soussana J-F, Sanz M-J, Vesala T, Zhao M 2007 Reduction of ecosystem productivity and respiration during the European summer 2003 climate anomaly : a joint flux tower, remote sensing and modelling analysis. Gl Ch Biol 13:634-651, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01224.x

[86] Zaehle S, Bondeau A, Carter TR, Cramer W, Erhard M, Prentice IC, Reginster I, Rounsevell MDA, Sitch S, Smith B, Smith PC, Sykes M 2007 Projected changes in terrestrial carbon storage in Europe under climate and land use change, 1990-2100. Ecosystems 10:380-401, doi : 10.1007/s10021-007-9028-9

[85] Cramer W 2006 Air pollution and climate change both reduce Indian rice harvests. PNAS 103(52):19609-19610, doi : 10.1073/pnas.0610075103

[84] Lucht W, Schaphoff S, Erbrecht T, Heyder U, Cramer W 2006 Terrestrial vegetation redistribution and carbon balance under climate change. C Bal Mgmt 1:6, doi : 10.1186/1750-0680-1-6

[83] Müller C, Bondeau A, Lotze-Campen H, Cramer W, Lucht W 2006 Comparative impact of climatic and non-climatic factors on global terrestrial carbon and water cycles. Gl Biogeo Cycl 20, GB4015, doi : 10.1029/2006GB002742

[82] Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Gerten D, Sitch S, Cramer W, Prentice IC 2006 Terrestrial biosphere carbon storage under alternative climate projections. Clim Chg 74:97-122, doi : 10.1007/s10584-005-9002-5

[81] Thonicke K, Cramer W 2006 Long-term trends in vegetation dynamics and forest fires in Brandenburg (Germany) under a changing climate. Nat Haz 38(1-2):283-300, doi : 10.1007/s11069-005-8639-8

[80] Zaehle S, Sitch S, Prentice IC, Liski J, Cramer W, Erhard M, Hickler T, Smith B 2006 The importance of age-related decline in forest NPP for modeling regional carbon balances. Ecol Appl 16(4):1555-1574, doi : 10.1890/1051-0761(2006)016[1555:TIOADI]2.0.CO ;2

[79] Alcamo J, Van Vuuren D, Cramer W, Alder J, Bennett E, Carpenter S, Christensen V, Foley J, Maerker M, Masui T, Morita T, O’Neill B, Peterson G, Ringler C, Rosegrant M, Schulze K, Bouwman L, Eickhoudt B, Floerke M, Lal R, Takahashi K 2005 Changes in ecosystem services and their drivers across the scenarios. Chapter 9 in Carpenter S, Pingali PL, Bennett EM, Zurek MB (eds.) Ecosystems and Human Well-being : Scenarios, Volume 2, Findings of the Scenarios Working Group of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Island Press, Washington, Covelo, London, Pp. 297-373.

[78] Alcamo J, Van Vuuren D, Ringler C, Cramer W, Masui T, Alder J, Schulze K 2005 Changes in Nature’s Balance Sheet : Model-based Estimates of Future Worldwide Ecosystem Services. Ecol Soc 10(2) : 19. [online] URL : http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol10/iss2/art19/

[77] Cramer W, Bondeau A, Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Smith B, Sitch S 2005 Twenty-first century atmospheric change and deforestation : potential impacts on tropical forests. Chapter 2 in : Malhi Y & Phillips OL (eds.) Tropical Forests & Global Atmospheric Change. Oxford University Press. Pp 17-30. (revised book chapter version of paper #78)

[76] DeFries R, Pagiola S, Adamowicz WL, Akçakaya HR, Arcenas A, Babu S, Balk D, Confalonieri U, Cramer W, Falconí F, Fritz S, Green R, Gutiérrez-Espeleta E, Hamilton K, Kane R, Latham J, Matthews E, Ricketts T, Xiang Yue T, Ash N, Thönell J 2005 Analytical approaches for assessing ecosystem condition and human well-being. Chapter 2 in Hassan R, Scholes R, Ash N (eds.) Ecosystems and Human Well-being : Current State and Trends, Volume 1, Findings of the Condition and Trends Working Group of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Island Press, Washington, Covelo, London, Pp. 37-71.

[75] Gerten D, Haberlandt U, Cramer W, Erhard M. 2005 Terrestrial Carbon and Water Fluxes. Chapter 12 in : Hantel M. (ed.) Observed Global Climate, Landolt-Börnstein New Series V/6. Pp 12-1 - 12-17, Springer Verlag, Berlin, Heidelberg, New York

[74] Gerten D, Lucht W, Schaphoff S, Cramer W, Hickler T, Wagner W 2005 Hydrologic resilience of the terrestrial biosphere. Geophys Res Lett 32(21):L21408, doi : 10.1029/2005GL024247

[73] Nakicenovic N, McGlade J, Ma Shiming, Alcamo J, Bennett E, Cramer W, Robinson J, Toth FI, Zurek M 2005 Lessons learned for scenario analysis. Chapter 13 in Carpenter S, Pingali PL, Bennett EM, Zurek MB (eds.) Ecosystems and Human Well-being : Scenarios, Volume 2, Findings of the Scenarios Working Group of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, Island Press, Washington, Covelo, London, Pp. 449-467

[72] Reichstein M, Kätterer T, Andrén O, Ciais P, Schulze E-D, Cramer W, Papale D, Valentini R 2005 Temperature sensitivity of decomposition in relation to soil organic matter pools : critique and outlook. Biogeosci 2:317-321

[71] Schröter D, Cramer W, Leemans R, Prentice IC, Araújo MB, Arnell NW, Bondeau A, Bugmann H, Carter TR, Garcia CA, de la Vega-Leinert AC, Erhard M, Ewert F, Glendining M, House JI, Kankaanpää S, Klein RJT, Lavorel S, Lindner M, Metzger MJ, Meyer J, Mitchell TD, Reginster I, Rounsevell M, Sabaté S, Sitch S, Smith B, Smith J, Smith P, Sykes MT, Thonicke K, Thuiller W, Tuck G, Zaehle S, Zierl B 2005 Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe. Science 310(25.11.2005):1333-1337 (suppl. online material), doi : 10.1126/science.1115233

[70] Brovkin V, Sitch S, Von Bloh W, Claussen M, Bauer E & Cramer W 2004 Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase and climate change during the last 150 years. Gl Ch Biol 10:1-14, doi : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00812.x

[69] Cramer W, Bondeau A, Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Smith B, Sitch S 2004 Tropical forests and the global carbon cycle : Impacts of atmospheric CO2, climate change and rate of deforestation. Phil Trans Roy Soc B 359:331-343, doi : 10.1098/rstb.2003.1428

[68] Huntley B, Green RE, Collingham YC, Hill JK, Willis SG, Bartlein PJ, Cramer W, Hagemeijer WJM, Thomas CJ 2004 The performance of models relating species geographical distributions to climate is independent of trophic level. Ecol Lett 7:417-426, doi : 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2004.00598.x

[67] Bigelow NH, Brubaker LB, Edwards ME, Harrison SP, Prentice IC, Anderson PM, Andreev AA, Bartlein PJ, Christensen TR, Cramer W, Kaplan JO, Lozhkin AV, Matveyeva NV, Murray DF, McGuire AD, Razzhivin VY, Ritchie JC, Smith B, Walker DA, Gajewski K, Wolf V, Holmqvist BH, Igarashi Y, Kremenetskii K, Paus A, Pisaric MFJ, Volkova VS 2003 Climate change and Arctic ecosystems : I. Vegetation changes north of 55 °N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene and present. J Geophys Res 108 (D19), 8170, doi : 10.1029/2002JD002558

[66] Kaplan JO, Bigelow NH, Prentice IC, Harrison SP, Bartlein PJ, Christensen TR, Cramer W, Matveyeva NV, McGuire AD, Murray DF, Razzhivin VY, Smith B, Walker DA, Anderson PM, Andreev AA, Brubaker LB, Edwards ME, Lozhkin AV 2003 Climate change and Arctic ecosystems : II. Modeling, paleodata-model comparisons, and future projections. J Geophys Res 108(D19), 8171, doi : 10.1029/2002JD002559

[65] Sitch S, Smith B, Prentice IC, Arneth A, Bondeau A, Cramer W, Kaplan JO, Levis S, Lucht W, Sykes MT, Thonicke K, Venevsky S 2003 Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics, plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Gl Ch Biol 9:161-185, doi : 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2003.00569.x

[64] Cramer W 2002 Biome models. In Mooney H & Canadell J (eds.) The Earth System : Biological and Ecological Dimensions of Global Environmental Change. Encyclopaedia of Global Environmental Change. Wiley International, Chichester.

[63] Lindner M, Badeck F-W, Bartelheimer P, Bonk S, Cramer W, Dieter M, Döbbeler H, Dursky J, Duschl C, Fabrika M, Frömdling D, Gundermann E, Hennig P, Hölzer W, Lasch P, Leischner B, Liesebach M, Pommerening A, Pott M, Pretzsch H, Schlott W, Scholz F, Spellmann H, Suckow F, Suda M, Wolff B 2002 Integrating forest growth dynamics, forest economics and decision making to assess the sensitivity of the German forest sector to climate change. Forstwiss Cbl 121 (Suppl 1):191-208

[62] Lindner M, Cramer W 2002 German forest sector under global change : an interdisciplinary impact assessment. Forstwiss Cbl 121 (Suppl 1):3-17

[61] Lucht W, Prentice IC, Myneni RB, Sitch S, Friedlingstein P, Cramer W, Bousquet P, Buermann W, Smith B 2002 Climatic control of the high-latitude vegetation greening trend and Pinatubo effect. Science 296:1687-1689, doi : 10.1126/science.1071828

[60] Venevsky S, Thonicke K, Sitch S, Cramer W 2002 Simulating fire regimes in human-dominated ecosystems : Iberian Peninsula case study. Gl Ch Biol 8:984-998, doi : 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2002.00528.x

[59] Cramer W 2001 Mögliche Auswirkungen eines vom Menschen beeinflußten Klimas auf terrestrische Ökosysteme. In : Guderian R (ed.) Handbuch der Umweltveränderungen und Ökotoxikologie 2B : Terrestrische Ökosysteme - Wirkungen auf Pflanzen, Diagnose und Überwachung, Wirkungen auf Tiere. Springer-Verlag, Berlin. Pp 224-251

[58] Cramer W, Bondeau A, Woodward FI, Prentice IC, Betts RA, Brovkin V, Cox PM, Fisher V, Foley J, Friend AD, Kucharik C, Lomas MR, Ramankutty N, Sitch S, Smith B, White A, Young-Molling C 2001 Global response of terrestrial ecosystem structure and function to CO2 and climate change : results from six dynamic global vegetation models. Gl Ch Biol 7(4):357-373, doi : 10.1046/j.1365-2486.2001.00383.x

[57] Cramer W, Olson RJ, Prince SD, Scurlock JMO and members of the Global Primary Production Data Initiative (GPPDI) 2001 Global Productivity : Determining Present Patterns. In : Roy J, Saugier B, Mooney H (eds.) Terrestrial Global Productivity : Past, Present, Future. Academic Press. Pp. 429-448

[56] Giorgi F, Hewitson B, Christensen J, Hulme M, Von Storch H, Whetton P, Jones R, Mearns L, Fu C, Arritt R, Bates B, Benestad R, Boer G, Buishand A, Castro M, Chen D, Cramer W, Crane R, Crossley JF, Dehn M, Dethloff K, Dippner J, Emori S, Francisco R, Fyfe J, Gerstengarbe FW, Gutowski W, Gyalistras D, Hanssen-Bauer I, Hantel M, Hassell DC, Heimann D, Jack C, Jacobeit J, Kato H, Katz R, Kauker F, Knutson T, Lal M, Landsea C, Laprise R, Leung LR, Lynch AH, May W, McGregor JL, Miller NL, Murphy J, Ribalaygua J, Rinke A, Rummukainen M, Semazzi F, Walsh K, Werner P, Widmann M, Wilby R, Wild M, Xue Y 2001 Regional Climate Information - Evaluation and Projections Chapter 10 in : Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, Van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds.) Climate Change 2001 : The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. Pp 583-638

[55] Gitay H, Brown S, Easterling W, Jallow B, Antle J, Apps M, Beamish R, Chapin T, Cramer W, Frangi J, Laine J, Erda L, Magnuson J, Noble I, Price J, Prowse T, Root T, Schulze E-D, Sirotenko O, Sohngen B, Soussana J 2001 Ecosystems and their goods and services. Chapter 5 in : McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ, White KS (eds.) Climate Change 2001 : Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. Pp 235-342

[54] Kundzewicz ZW, Parry ML, Cramer W, Holten JI, Kaczmarek Z, Martens P, Nicholls R, Öquist M, Rounsevell MDA & Szolgay J 2001 Europe. Chapter 13 in : McCarthy JJ, Canziani OF, Leary NA, Dokken DJ & White KS (eds.) Climate Change 2001 : Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. Pp 641-692

[53] Prentice IC, Farquhar GD, Fasham MJR, Goulden ML, Heimann M, Jaramillo VJ, Kheshgi HS, Le Quéré C, Scholes RJ, Wallace DWR, Archer D, Ashmore MR, Aumont O, Baker D, Battle M, Bender M, Bopp LP, Bousquet P, Caldeira K, Ciais P, Cox PM, Cramer W, Dentener F, Enting IG, Field CB, Friedlingstein P, Holland EA, Houghton RA, House JI, Ishida A, Jain AK, Janssens IA, Joos F, Kaminski T, Keeling CD, Keeling RF, Kicklighter DW, Kohfeld KE, Knorr W, Law R, Lenton T, Lindsay K, Maier-Reimer E, Manning AC, Matear RJ, McGuire AD, Melillo JM, Meyer R, Mund M, Orr JC, Piper S, Plattner K, Rayner PJ, Sitch S, Slater R, Taguchi S, Tans PP, Tian HQ, Weirig MF, Whorf T, Yool A 2001 The Carbon Cycle and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide. Chapter 3 in : Houghton JT, Ding Y, Griggs DJ, Noguer M, Van der Linden PJ, Dai X, Maskell K, Johnson CA (eds.) Climate Change 2001 : The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press. Pp 183-237

[52] Schimel DS, House JI, Hibbard KA, Bousquet P, Ciais P, Peylin P, Braswell BH, Apps MJ, Baker D, Bondeau A, Canadell J, Churkina G, Cramer W, Denning AS, Field CB, Friedlingstein P, Goodale C, Heimann M, Houghton RA, Melillo JM, Moore III B, Murdiyarso D, Noble I, Pacala SW, Prentice IC, Raupach MR, Rayner PJ, Scholes RJ, Steffen WL, Wirth C 2001 Recent patterns and mechanisms of carbon exchange by terrestrial ecosystems. Nature 414:169-172, doi : 10.1038/35102500

[51] Thonicke K, Venevsky S, Sitch S, Cramer W 2001 The role of fire disturbance for global vegetation dynamics : coupling fire into a Dynamic Global Vegetation Model. Gl Ecol Biogeogr 10:661-677, doi : 10.1046/j.1466-822x.2001.00175.x